Showing posts with label Oil and Natural Gas Industry. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oil and Natural Gas Industry. Show all posts

Thursday, January 22, 2009

TAPI Petroleum Gas Pipeline

The Turkmenistan Afghanistan Pakistan India Petroleum Gas pipeline is scheduled for the start of construction in 2010 and the projections are that it will provide its first supply to India by 2015. The pipeline will run 1040 mi (1,680 km) pipeline will run from the Dauletabad Gas field in Turkmenistan to the Indian town of Fazilka, running through southern Afghanistan (Herat-Kandahar);and Quetta and Multan in Pakistan. As of 2006, Dauletabad had around 1.4 trillion cubic meters of gas reserves left. The pipeline has ane stimated cost of $ 7.6 million and the Asian Development Bank is co-ordinating efforts of the steering committee of the four nations' petroleum ministers. ADB is providing technical assistance in the form of feasibility studies, etc and it's agreed to provide financing for the project subject to the condition that it wouldn't crowd out private investors.
The project according to ADB studies is economically and financially feasible. The pipeline has a designed capacity of 3.2 billion cubic feet per day (around 30 billion cubic meters per year)

Friday, January 16, 2009

Geopolitical Insights from "The Economic Times" (today's print edition)!

The following analysis is from the January 16, 2009 print edition of The Economic Times (Bennett,Coleman & Co Ltd.).

On Page 02 you see the report titled "Pranab will settle for Pak trial now". Foreign Minister Pranab Mukherjee is now willing to accept a transparent trial in Pakistan for those who have committed crimes against India, viz. the perpetrators of the Mumbai terror attacks. What Pranab Mukherjee actually said, and he is quoted in the paper is: "Indian fugitives should face Indian justice. Others who have committed crimes against India should also be extradited. But if for some reason that is not possible, then there should be a transparent trial in Pakistan." The author correctly sees this as very different from the earlier Government of India demand that the terrorists should be "handed over to us to face trial".

On Page 19, there is a small block titled "Pakistan might opt out of IPI gas pipeline project". 'An unnamed Petroleum Ministry official' (in Islamabad) has told the Economic Times journalist that with Iran seeking an exorbitant $10 to $11 per mmBtu of gas from Pakistan, Pakistani authorities might recommend to their Parliament to abandon the proposed $7.4 billion tripartite Iran-Pakistan-India gas pipeline project.

India has been uninterested in having any agreement with Iran over this proposed project for quite some time now. Remember that the earlier Petroleum Minister of India, Mani Shankar Aiyar stepped down from his portfolio and Murli Deora became the new Petroleum Minister precisely because the Government of India was not interested in having either a petroleum pipeline, or a petroleum gas pipeline built from Iran through Pakistan to India. Mr. Mani Shankar Aiyar was a career diplomat in the Indian Foreign Service who was posted in the Middle East for a long time.He later won election to the Parliament and was an aggressive proponent of the Iran-Pakistan-India oil pipeline project. The United States plan is to have a new pipeline built southwards from the Caspian Sea through Afghanistan to an Arabian Sea port in Pakistan.

The report today that Pakistan hasn't yet finalized their decision on the project, but that they now might not go for it, is therefore representative of some kind of a shift on this issue.

The two reports are obviously linked. The United States Department of State, behind the scenes, is brokering a deal here. The deal is simple. Pakistan shouldn't co-operate with Iran. They should go for the US-backed pipeline project instead. Then the Department of State friends in India won't go after the Zardari regime to extradite their henchmen, who conducted the Mumbai terror attacks.

This post should also indicate to you good methods to use while reading the financial press. It's important to separate facts from interpretations made by the authors. It's even more important to acquire a contextual awareness, either by reading over time, or by reading related materials when you come across something new. You're advised to cultivate the ability to link various reported developments (that you consider as facts) and understand the evolution of the unfolding themes. It's a very good habit to check data from different sources to be sure that what you think are facts are supported by various commentators.

Thursday, January 8, 2009

Gulf of Mannar Oil Exploration and The Fall of KiliNochchi

On closer scrutiny the theme of the conflict in Sri Lanka is the same as that on the Gaza strip. The Air Tiger attacks on oil storage facilities, especially in the Sinhala capital of Colombo have prejudiced powerful international interests to ensure the decimation of Tiger forces in Lanka.
The Gulf of Mannar is being explored by the Government of India owned Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Videsh Ltd., British owned Cairn Energy Plc. (through Cairn India and Cairn Lanka), and the China National Petroleum Corporation.
I'm posting several links on the Gulf of Mannar Oil exploration for reference.
http://www.google.co.in/search?hl=en&q=Tigers+attack+oil+storage+facilities+from+the+air&meta=
http://karainet.blogspot.com/2008/03/offshore-oil-and-production-sharing.html
http://www.ongcindia.com/financial_30Sept_08.asp
http://www.pucsl.gov.lk/pdf/ENERGY%20POLICY.pdf
http://www.kompass.com/en/LK005838#
http://www.ustr.gov/assets/Document_Library/Reports_Publications/2007/2007_NTE_Report/asset_upload_file713_10981.pdf
http://www.laugfs.lk/profile/laugfs_profile.pdf
http://www.southasiaanalysis.org/\papers22\paper2181.html
http://www.livemint.com/2008/02/01142540/ONGC-Cairns-India-bid-for-Sri.html
http://www.thesundayleader.lk/20081005/BUSINESS.HTM
http://www.tamilnet.com/art.html?catid=13&artid=23425
http://lankasun.com:8000/index.php?option=com_content&task=view&id=7104&Itemid=28
http://www.rediff.com/news/2009/jan/02ltte-concedes-kilinochi-defeat-in-lanka.htm